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The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail but some don't (edition 2012)
by Nate Silver
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't by Nate Silver
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Wikipedia in English
Amazon.com Amazon.com Review (ISBN 159420411X, Hardcover)Amazon Best Books of the Month, September 2012: People love statistics. Statistics, however, do not always love them back. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver's brilliant and elegant tour of the modern science-slash-art of forecasting, shows what happens when Big Data meets human nature. Baseball, weather forecasting, earthquake prediction, economics, and polling: In all of these areas, Silver finds predictions gone bad thanks to biases, vested interests, and overconfidence. But he also shows where sophisticated forecasters have gotten it right (and occasionally been ignored to boot). In today's metrics-saturated world, Silver's book is a timely and readable reminder that statistics are only as good as the people who wield them. --Darryl Campbell
(retrieved from Amazon Mon, 30 Sep 2013 13:38:29 -0400)
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
(summary from another edition)
Two editions of this book were published by Penguin Australia.
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