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Loading... The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Courtesy of Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan:
"The writer Umberto Eco belongs to that small class of scholars who are encyclopedic, insightful, and non dull. He is the owner of a large personal library (containing thirty thousand books), and separates visitors into two categories: those who react ... ... it could always be that the thing that is inconsistent it just over the horizon.....
This makes me think of the book The Black Swan. Until one such creature is discovered, the evidence (lots and lots of white swans) points to the likelihood that all swans are white.
One counterexample, ... I'm not sure if any of you have read The Black Swan, but Taleb stated he doesn't listen/read any news.
If the news is really important he says it will find him. As I recall he feels almost all of it is noise and the commentator's speculation is just a waste of time.
He pays attention ... Fooled by Randomness
The Black Swan is an expansion of the ideas first posited in this volume. Good. Fooled by Randomness
The Black Swan is an expansion of the ideas first posited in this volume. Good. Fooled by Randomness
The Black Swan is an expansion of the ideas first posited in this volume. Good. i just finished that book, The Black Swan, a couple of weeks ago.
I was only intermittently impressed with the book, but I did like that sentiment. ... Point also by Malcolm Gladwell very interesting. Another book I read last year that was a bit mind expanding was the Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Tim,
Are you saying that rowling is a black swan?
... to keep holding the stock as he expects a net benefit from doing so. There is a related example in Nassim Taleb's book The Black Swan. Taleb is asked what he thinks the stock market will do today. He thinks it will go up, but is betting it will go down, again because his expected gain is ... ... I came home with Firmin which I've great things about on here and, as a former rat owner, I couldn't resist. I also got The Black Swan which I've had my eye on for a while, as it looked interesting. 8) Dissolution now completed. So 3 of the 4 Shardlakes read. Another good one.
9) The Black Swan also (I've been getting a bit out of date here as these were both finished a few days ago).
The Yellow Cross continues to grind slowly in the background and My Father's Country is at about ... I finished The Black Swan a few days ago. The less said about that book the better. I never want to hear about Taleb's boyhood in Amioun, Lebanon again. He brings it up constantly, and it has nothing to do with his premise. Read his book Fooled by Randomness instead.
I'm finishing up Bar ... Gad, I'm half way through The Black Swan and it's as bad as Fooled by Randomness was good. At this point, finishing it is going to be like removing a band-aid. Do I read as fast as possible, pulling it off in one painful motion, or do I pick at it nervously for the next few days drawing out ... ... funny when you consider how their only experiences with amphibious assaults were mostly bungled affairs.
Next up is The Black Swan. ... David Shenk: The Immortal Game
8. Malcolm Gladwell: Outliers
9. James Patterson: Cross
10. Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The Black Swan
11. Conor Woodman: The Adventure Capitalist
12: Arturo Perez Reverte: Die Reinheit des Blutes Book 1: The Black Swan:The Impact of the Highly Improbable - 292 pages.
After a week in Sweden I arrived at Stansted airport about half an hour after the last train back to my parents' pace, where I would be staying for Christmas. Faced with the prospect of staying awake in the shed until 5:30a ... ... : Après la démocratie After democracy, (2008, Editions Gallimard, Paris)
Taleb, Nicholas Nassim : The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable , (2008, Penguin Books, London)
Michéa, Jean-Claude : Impasse Adam Smith: Brèves remarques sur l'impossibi ... I finished Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. It turned out to be much better than I expected. He comes across as rather arrogant, so I wasn't very hopeful about his book. His writing was witty and ironic, but some of it was unintentional.
Now I've started Clausewitz & Contem ... ... and opaque. The occasional graph would have clarified much of the discussion.
Next up is Fooled by Randomness. Nassim Nicholas Taleb strikes me as being a bit of an arrogant jerk convinced of his own brilliance. It will be interesting to see if he actually has anything substantive ... The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. On the TBR shelves. ... Force of Nature by uzanne Brockmann
Other fiction: Opening Atlantis by Harry Turtledove
Dewey 000-099: The Black Swan by N.N.Taleb and Finding Atlantis: A True Story of Genius, Madness, and an Extraordinary Quest for a Lost World by David King
Philosophy/religion/myth ... 26. The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I finally sloshed my way through this one...slightly too clever by half and could stand some more editing, but thoroughly intriguing thesis... ... - Hermann Hesse
11. Origin of Species - Charles Darwin
12. To Kill a Mockingbird - Harper Lee
13. The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
14. Bone: Lejos de Boneville - Jeff Smith
15. The Bicycle Wheel - Job ... ... As a casual observer of science, his work seems to have more application than that of Karl Popper and the popular Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Although falsification is appealing and sounds scientific from a philosophical viewpoint, it seems that few scientists really work this way.
As ... ... at the end it felt like a good long novel rather than a trilogy so perhaps needed a little more editing. Still dipping into Nassim Nicholas Taleb's first book Fooled by Randomness but haven't got a good run at that it yet. And I've picked up A Florentine Death by Michele Giuttari now I ... ... of the Five trilogy Voice of the Gods. I'm enjoying it but not as much as the first trilogy. I've also been dipping into Nassim Nicholas Taleb's first book Fooled by Randomness and am looking forward to getting a good run at that next week. I started reading The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable a few days ago, but it's not really a book to be devoured in one sitting. For work/lunch/hammock reading I've picked up Death in Venice, but unfortunately it's not living up to my post-Buddenbrooks expectations! I thought ... ... library--what's that about? :) I picked up The Grapes of Wrath, Death in Venice, One Hundred Years of Solitude, and The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. (Sadly, the only copy of King Leopold's Ghost had JUST been checked out!) I also grabbed And Then There Were None ... ... as I'm on the road this week.
Finished Simon Scarrow's Young Bloods great read, can't wait for book three; and The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb deep & provocative, I went out and bought his earlier book but I think I need to read the Black Swan again (I never re-read ... ... into Kevin Kelly's New Rules for the New Economy, which feels a bit dated ten years on, and I dipped a toe into The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb which is tempting . . . but not yet. My husband and I both found The Black Swan to be very interesting. ... Blue, Susan Vreeland
3-6. The Color Purple, Alice Walker
3-7. The White King, György Dragomán
3-8. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
1001 books to read...
4-1. The God of Small Things, Arundhati Roy
4-2. Ca ... ... by Allen Steele
4) Schrodinger's Ball by Adam Felber
5) Light by M. John Harrison
6) The Black Swan by Nassim Taleb
7) How Soccer Explains the World by Franklin Foer
8) A Thousand Splendid Suns by Khaled Hosseini
9) Blindness by Jose Saramago
IN PROGRESS
... Finally finished The Black Swan. (See Message 6.) After mulling over my next full non-fiction book, I decided to go with Murmurs of Earth. I'm pretty certain that I did read at least some of this book when it was new but I don't remember any details so it is fair game. One of the advantages to ... Dewey from 000-099
1. The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb - finished Jan 17
The subtitle of Taleb's book is 'The Impact of the Highly Improbable' and he is very persuasive when explaining how these 'outlier' events have a huge impact on our lives. I find this book to be both ... Just got The Black Swan as a Christmas gift! Will be gobbling that down, on top of all the Christmas stuffings... ;) ... order:
Enduring Love
Infinite Jest
Team of Rivals
In Search of Memory
Breaking the Spell
hated:
The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable I got this from Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.
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a private library is not an ego-boosting appendage but a research tool. Read books are far less valuable than unread ones. ... ... to be the oldest - maybe that has something to do with it?
P.S. The only strange touchstone I noticed was for this book: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable ... list!
002 The Book - A gentle madness : bibliophiles, bibliomanes, and the eternal passion for books
003 Systems - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
011 Bibilographies - Book Lust
069 Museology (Museum Science) - Mr. Wilson's Cabinet of Wonder
110 Ontology - I ... ... somewhere" usually refers to something the kids or husband can't find, so....
A Map of the World
The Tin Drum
The Black Swan
The Little White Car
A Box of Matches I like Taleb's point when talking about Umberto Eco's library of 30000 books in The Black Swan - most of which he has not read.
"And you have a second category of people who realise that the value of a library does not lie in the books you've read, but in the books that you haven't ... ... only outrageous because they're outside your common conception of the function of the universe. I'd recommend picking up The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. "Outrageous" is not a scientifically meaningful term any more than "magic" is.
>Weird experiences can be had through ... ... the Age of Information... I think it lightly addresses some of the issues that you've talked about there. There's also The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable which is a pretty good argument against a lot of ideas of certainty (while not much new, still pretty well presented).
... Has anyone read The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable?
I enjoyed it very much and I think it speaks to a lot of the issues that are being raised in the thread.
Aside from that, I'm completely overwhelmed by the number of posts in all of the threads today, so I'm going to ... I thought the book was excellent. And I do believe that he covers territory that isn't covered by Malkiel. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is one of my best reads so far of the year. ... in the City.
My recent reads have been Bambi vs. Godzilla by David Mamet, Twelve Years by Joel Agee and The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Twelve Years is fantastic. It's the memoir of James Agee's son, Joel, who was raised ... ... been there which is pretty good writing. There is also a love story in there which isn't bad.
I'm also still working on The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb which is taking a while to get through because I have to keep stopping to think. About now, I'm trying to find something light ... ... by Walter Isaacson. Well done biography that captures the man and the science.
Next, I'm a couple of chapters into The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Basic idea is that what we don't know is more important than what we do know. One of those ... I believe that danellender is referring to Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Therein he claims that almost all consequential events in history come from large-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events. We then convince ourselves that these events are explainable ...
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