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Predicting the Unpredictable: Pragmatic…

Predicting the Unpredictable: Pragmatic Approaches to Estimating Cost or…

by Johanna Rothman

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Anyone involved with delivering a product or a project will have to face two questions: when will it finish, and how much will it cost?

The questions are straightforward and simple, they are also justified, but the answers are the source of a huge literature with a lot of books and articles, leading to heated debates and claims. And if you're dealing with a software-intensive product or a project, you already know the difficulties of making predictions about future.

In this no-nonsense and pragmatic book, the author tries to look at the various aspects of predicting the timing of software projects. Given the statistical nature of the problem at hand, and the thirst for determinism of the business, she manages to clarify the concepts and draw attention to critical pitfalls. One of the things I really appreciated is the fact that author is very well aware of what kind of pressure the upper management can put on the shoulders of a software project manager: she has clearly been through such situations, and constantly focuses on how you can convey the fragile nature of ambitious of project predictions.

I can easily the recommend because I think it'll useful for practicing software managers, as well as the developers who try to evaluate whether they are working with good management practices.

So, as the author says, make your features small, break down that epic, go on a spike, don't multitask, put an expiration that on your estimates, always use confidence numbers for your predictions, communicate your status concretely, provide value at the end of each increment, and get to work! ( )
  EmreSevinc | Aug 30, 2016 |
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