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Brave new war : the next stage of terrorism…
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Brave new war : the next stage of terrorism and the end of globalization (edition 2007)

by John Robb

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1516112,807 (4)4
Member:noonaut
Title:Brave new war : the next stage of terrorism and the end of globalization
Authors:John Robb
Info:Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley & Sons, c2007.
Collections:Wishlist, To read (inactive)
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Tags:clash of civilizations

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Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization by John Robb

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» See also 4 mentions

Showing 1-5 of 6 (next | show all)
Robb has some interesting ideas about the future of warfare, namely that "open source" warfare has/will replace conventional warfare. While I can't do his explanation justice, he basically contends that stateless networks will challenge states, by targeting infrastructure not in an attempt to overthrow them but to disrupt them. Thereby allowing groups to work for their own ends without state interference. Definitely worth reading. ( )
  sgtbigg | May 27, 2011 |
"...This is a book that everybody should read, particularly anybody who cares about national security. John Robb describes a future in which small ad-hoc bands of insurgents will identify and exploit gaps in vital systems and generate a huge return.



He describes a future in which small ad-hoc bands of insurgents will identify and exploit gaps in vital systems and generate a huge return. The book also describes the growth of the terrorist marketplace and how it behaves like a bazaar. Terrorist networks now outsource to freelancers – for instance, they buy in a hollowed-out car from a chop shop to create a vehicle-borne IED (improvised explosive device), and stack of artillery shells from a local insurgent group. Their actions are designed to provoke copycat attacks, as other networks in the bazaar innovate and identify new weaknesses.



One particular event that Robb describes caught my attention: during the summer of 2004, a small group of insurgents blew up a southern section of the Iraqi oil pipeline infrastructure. Their maps were highly accurate and showed exactly which pipeline, buried in a maze of others, was the critical one they wanted. They had only to dig a six-foot hole in the sand, place the charges and detonate them. The explosion itself wasn’t even that large, but it was more than sufficient to burst the shell of the 48-inch high-pressure oil line.



The attack cost an estimated $2,000 while the explosion cost Iraq $500 million in lost oil exports – a rate of return 250,000 times the cost of the attack. I think we have been lucky so far that more of this type of thing hasn’t happened, but the potential is there..." (reviewed by Simon Conway in FiveBooks).


The full interview is available here: http://fivebooks.com/interviews/simon-conway-on-crime-and-terror ( )
  FiveBooks | May 25, 2010 |
This book provides an original perspective on the presen state of international security. It discusses how effects like the open source movement, increasing complexity in societies, the long tail and black swans change the face of conflict and how they will shape coming attacks on developed states. This short text is a great intuition pump for anyone wondering about the present state of the world. ( )
  AndreasJungherr | Jun 13, 2008 |
Had a ropey introductory 30 pages or so, some better editing here would have made it a lot more accessible, but once you get through that it's a very worthwhile piece, with some serious insights into how globalization has influenced the path of war in Iraq (and elsewhere). ( )
  Donogh | Aug 3, 2007 |
Just received the eagerly awaited review copy of this one -- a seminal work in the current debate about the future of warfare and the nation-state system. ( )
  wfzimmerman | Jun 21, 2007 |
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Amazon.com Product Description (ISBN 0471780790, Hardcover)

"For my money, John Robb, a former Air Force officer and tech guru, is the futurists' futurist."
Slate

The counterterrorism expert John Robb reveals how the same technology that has enabled globalization also allows terrorists and criminals to join forces against larger adversaries with relative ease and to carry out small, inexpensive actions—like sabotaging an oil pipeline—that generate a huge return. He shows how combating the shutdown of the world’s oil, high-tech, and financial markets could cost us the thing we’ve come to value the most—worldwide economic and cultural integration—and what we must do now to safeguard against this new method of warfare.

(retrieved from Amazon Thu, 12 Mar 2015 18:20:33 -0400)

"In Brave New War, the controversial terrorist expert John Robb argues that the shift from state-against-state conflicts to wars against small, ad hoc bands of like-minded insurgents will lead to a world with as many tiny armies as there are causes to fight for. Our new enemies are looking for gaps in vital systems where a small, cheap action - blowing up an oil pipeline or knocking out a power grid - will generate a huge return." "Drawing on scores of examples from the ongoing insurgency in Iraq, Robb reveals how the technology that has enabled globalization also allows terrorists, criminals, and violent ideologues of every stripe to join forces against a far bigger and richer foe without revealing their identities, following orders, or even working toward the same ultimate goal. This new brand of open-source warfare enables insurgents to coordinate attacks, swarm on targets, and adapt rapidly to changes in their enemy's tactics, all at minimal cost and risk. And now, Rob shows, it is being exported around the world, from Pakistan to Nigeria to Mexico, creating a new class of insurgents he calls global guerillas." "This evolutionary leap in the methods of warfare makes it possible for extremely small nonstate groups to fight states and possibly win on a regular basis. The use of systems disruption as a method of strategic warfare gives rise to a nightmare scenario in which any nation - including the United States - can be driven to bankruptcy by an enemy it can't compete with economically. We are staring at a future where defeat isn't experienced all at once but as an inevitable withering away of military, economic, and political power through wasting conflicts with minor foes."--BOOK JACKET.… (more)

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