Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds

by National Intelligence Council

Other authors: Christopher Kojm (Foreword)

Other authors: See the other authors section.

Series: Global trends (2030)

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This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the NIC's previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future, which would be an impossible feat, but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030. NIC leadership engaged with experts in nearly 20 countries, from think tanks, banks, government offices and business groups, to solicit reviews of the report.… (more)

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Author name	Role	Type of author	Work?	Status
National Intelligence Council	—	primary author	all editions	calculated
Kojm, Christopher	Foreword	secondary author	all editions	confirmed
Vasseur, Flore	Preface	secondary author	some editions	confirmed

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Global trends (2030)

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Prix Marine & Océans, Récensions (2013)

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Canonical title

Information from the French Common Knowledge. Edit to localize it to your language.

Le monde en 2030 vu par la CIA

Original title

Global trends 2030. Alternative worlds

Alternative titles

Original publication date

2012-12 (1e édition originale américaine | National Intelligence Council )

2013-01-31 (1e traduction et édition française | Editions des Equateurs)

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Epigraph

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(Synthèse)

« … l’idée d’un avenir différent du présent est si étrangère à nos modes de pensée et de comportements conventionnels que la plupart d’entre nous font preuve d’une grande réticence à prendre des mesures pratiques. »

John Maynard Keynes, 1937.

Dedication

First words

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Préface
(Flore Vasseur)

Depuis quinze ans, tout Président des États-Unis inaugure son mandat par la lecture d’un précieux rapport de prospective : Global Trends. La NIC (National Intelligence Council), la cellule de veille et d’intelligence économique de la CIA, suit les tendances lourdes et les signaux faibles. [...]

(Par Christopher Kojm, Président du National Intelligence Council)

Cher lecteur
Tendances mondiales 2030 : des mondes possibles est le cinquième volet de la série produite par le National Intelligence Council. Il cherche à fournir un cadre de réflexion sur l’avenir. [...]

Historique des travaux des Tendances mondiales

Avant de lancer les travaux du présent volume, le NIC a commandité une étude depuis la première en 1996-1997 sur les quatre premières éditions des Tendances mondiales. [...]

Le monde en 2030 aura radicalement changé par rapport à celui d’aujourd’hui. En 2030, aucun pays, que ce soit les États-Unis, la Chine ou toute autre grande nation, n’aura l’hégémonie de la puissance. [...]

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Anglais (Etats-Unis)

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▾Book descriptions

This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the NIC's previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future, which would be an impossible feat, but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030. NIC leadership engaged with experts in nearly 20 countries, from think tanks, banks, government offices and business groups, to solicit reviews of the report.

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