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A critical review of VAN earthquake prediction from seismic electrical signals

by James Lighthill

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The acronym VAN refers to Drs Varotsos, Alexopoulos and Nomicos, members of a group based in the University of Athens and led by Professor Varotsos (head of the Physics Department) which for over a decade has sought to use electric-field measurements between electrodes buried in the earth to predict earthquakes in Greece over periods of order one month or less. But is such "short-term" prediction achievable by the VAN approach (or by any other)? This book is an objective collection of the arguments for -- and the counterarguments against -- that approach, intended to help scientific readers arrive at their own answers to this important question, as well as to others (including that of VAN's "export" potential).… (more)
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The acronym VAN refers to Drs Varotsos, Alexopoulos and Nomicos, members of a group based in the University of Athens and led by Professor Varotsos (head of the Physics Department) which for over a decade has sought to use electric-field measurements between electrodes buried in the earth to predict earthquakes in Greece over periods of order one month or less. But is such "short-term" prediction achievable by the VAN approach (or by any other)? This book is an objective collection of the arguments for -- and the counterarguments against -- that approach, intended to help scientific readers arrive at their own answers to this important question, as well as to others (including that of VAN's "export" potential).

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