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Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes

by Richard A. Clarke

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972280,728 (4.1)None
"In Greek mythology Cassandra foresaw calamities, but was cursed by the gods to be ignored. Modern-day Cassandras clearly predicted the disasters of Katrina, Fukushima, the Great Recession, the rise of ISIS, and many others. Like her, they were ignored. There are others right now warning of impending disasters, but how do we know which warnings are likely to be right? Through riveting explorations in a variety of fields, the authors uncover a method to separate the accurate Cassandras from the crazy doomsayers."--… (more)
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Very good approach but the quality of writing was uneven.

The book covers civilisation existential risks with a framework for identifying “Cassandras” or people that foresee big disasters before they occur.

I found the book extremely useful, if even I wish the rating system they suggest was taken apart a bit more for clarity and verification. ( )
  yates9 | Feb 28, 2024 |
3.5 stars - it is very interesting except for those parts that really aren't. Non-fiction by a pair of very experienced national security people explicating how a small proportion of humans can predict where and how catastrophes will occur. A few examples are fascinating, astonishing really, such as the NASA engineer who predicted the destruction of a US multi-stage rocket upon liftoff, killing 7 people aboard, and the scientist who predicted a huge tsunami that would destroy an atomic power plant. It is well worth reading. ( )
  RickGeissal | Aug 16, 2023 |
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"In Greek mythology Cassandra foresaw calamities, but was cursed by the gods to be ignored. Modern-day Cassandras clearly predicted the disasters of Katrina, Fukushima, the Great Recession, the rise of ISIS, and many others. Like her, they were ignored. There are others right now warning of impending disasters, but how do we know which warnings are likely to be right? Through riveting explorations in a variety of fields, the authors uncover a method to separate the accurate Cassandras from the crazy doomsayers."--

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