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The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate (2012)

by Robert D. Kaplan

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9601621,944 (3.71)18
In The Revenge of Geography, Robert D. Kaplan builds on the insights, discoveries, and theories of great geographers and geopolitical thinkers of the near and distant past to look back at critical pivots in history and then to look forward at the evolving global scene. Kaplan traces the history of the world's hot spots by examining their climates, topographies, and proximities to other embattled lands. The Russian steppe's pitiless climate and limited vegetation bred hard and cruel men bent on destruction, for example, while Nazi geopoliticians distorted geopolitics entirely, calculating that space on the globe used by the British Empire and the Soviet Union could be swallowed by a greater German homeland. Kaplan then applies the lessons learned to the present crises in Europe, Russia, China, the Indian subcontinent, Turkey, Iran, and the Arab Middle East. The result is a holistic interpretation of the next cycle of conflict throughout Eurasia. Remarkably, the future can be understood in the context of temperature, land allotment, and other physical certainties: China, able to feed only twenty-three percent of its people from land that is only seven percent arable, has sought energy, minerals, and metals from such brutal regimes as Burma, Iran, and Zimbabwe, putting it in moral conflict with the United States. Afghanistan's porous borders will keep it the principal invasion route into India, and a vital rear base for Pakistan, India's main enemy. Iran will exploit the advantage of being the only country that straddles both energy-producing areas of the Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea. Finally, Kaplan posits that the United States might rue engaging in far-flung conflicts with Iraq and Afghanistan rather than tending to its direct neighbor Mexico, which is on the verge of becoming a semi-failed state due to drug cartel carnage. A brilliant rebuttal to thinkers who suggest that globalism will trump geography, this indispensable work shows how timeless truths and natural facts can help prevent this century's looming cataclysms.… (more)
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» See also 18 mentions

Showing 1-5 of 16 (next | show all)
Not read, author of “The Loom of Time” 2023 KLib
  BJMacauley | Mar 30, 2024 |
A little hard to get into if, like me, you didn't already have the vocabulary. But once you get up to speed, it's an excellent discussion of how geography shapes geopolitics. Recommend you read it with a good atlas, you'll never see the maps the same way again. ( )
  rscottm182gmailcom | Mar 12, 2024 |
I probably should reread this book with my eyes. It is very dense and my mind wandered sometimes listening to the audio version. I also think I would do better with a good map close at hand as I read. The other challenge was the organization. To make his points, he often circles back to earlier topics and themes. Sometimes that makes it more confusing to follow. This book will be well worth a closer read. It does help inform current and future foreign policy. ( )
  pollycallahan | Jul 1, 2023 |
This is an excellent book, and I have learned a lot from reading the book.

When I read a book called "1962, the War that Wasn't", I realised the importance of geography in geopolitics. Rather, it brought home the importance of geography. When China annexed Tibet and Sinkiang, and Aksai Chin, they ensured that they had access to water and trade routes. Many of my friends disputed this.

When you read this book - and it may be worthwhile to explore the many authors he cites - you will gain an intimate appreciation of the geographic importance of the location of places and why countries play in seemingly unimportant countries.

The book gives you a broad sweep of geography and geopolitics and spans the globe. It is excellent, and will provide you with a springboard which you can launch for your future explorations. ( )
1 vote RajivC | Jun 24, 2021 |
Eerily prescient. Was afraid of someone with a hammer but turned out to be quite measured and restrained. The analysis is very selective and mostly about places the author visited/cares about. ( )
  Paul_S | Dec 23, 2020 |
Showing 1-5 of 16 (next | show all)
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Epigraph
But precisely because I expect little of the human condition, man's periods of felicity, his partial progress, his efforts to begin over again and to continue, all seem to me like so many prodigies which nearly compensate for the monstrous mass of ills and defeats, of indifference and error. Catastrophe and ruin will come; disorder will triumph, but order will too, from time to time.

--Marguerite Yourcenar
Memoirs of Hadrian (1951)
Dedication
TO THE MEMORY OF
HARVEY SICHERMAN
1945-2012
PRESIDENT,
FOREIGN POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE,
PHILADELPHIA
First words
Preface

A good place to understand the present, and to ask questions about the future, is on the ground, traveling as slowly as possible.
Chapter 1

To recover our sense of geography, we must first fix the moment in recent history when we most profoundly lost it, explain why we lost it, and elucidate how that affected our assumptions about the world.
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In The Revenge of Geography, Robert D. Kaplan builds on the insights, discoveries, and theories of great geographers and geopolitical thinkers of the near and distant past to look back at critical pivots in history and then to look forward at the evolving global scene. Kaplan traces the history of the world's hot spots by examining their climates, topographies, and proximities to other embattled lands. The Russian steppe's pitiless climate and limited vegetation bred hard and cruel men bent on destruction, for example, while Nazi geopoliticians distorted geopolitics entirely, calculating that space on the globe used by the British Empire and the Soviet Union could be swallowed by a greater German homeland. Kaplan then applies the lessons learned to the present crises in Europe, Russia, China, the Indian subcontinent, Turkey, Iran, and the Arab Middle East. The result is a holistic interpretation of the next cycle of conflict throughout Eurasia. Remarkably, the future can be understood in the context of temperature, land allotment, and other physical certainties: China, able to feed only twenty-three percent of its people from land that is only seven percent arable, has sought energy, minerals, and metals from such brutal regimes as Burma, Iran, and Zimbabwe, putting it in moral conflict with the United States. Afghanistan's porous borders will keep it the principal invasion route into India, and a vital rear base for Pakistan, India's main enemy. Iran will exploit the advantage of being the only country that straddles both energy-producing areas of the Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea. Finally, Kaplan posits that the United States might rue engaging in far-flung conflicts with Iraq and Afghanistan rather than tending to its direct neighbor Mexico, which is on the verge of becoming a semi-failed state due to drug cartel carnage. A brilliant rebuttal to thinkers who suggest that globalism will trump geography, this indispensable work shows how timeless truths and natural facts can help prevent this century's looming cataclysms.

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