Kate Raworth

Ok, I've read a lot of intro to econ books, and they never made sense to me. This book immediately makes it clear why. It's because classical economics is still based on entrenched thought patterns, and that any of the current reformatory ideas are just nibbling around the edges. Raworth proposes we turn things upside down, and now there's hope for the future. If only her proposal gains enough momentum, we can indeed have a more sane and healthy world.

(That is to say, please read this, or show more whatever TED talk or Executive Summary text or whatever you can find related to it, and think about who you do business with, how you choose what to consume, who you vote for, where you hold your investments, etc.)

(And btw, if you're skeptical, do know that I noticed that she does give credit to a *lot* of other people and movements and proposals; here she attempts to collate them all under an umbrella and alert readers of popular non-fiction to many of the best ideas and strategies. Also note that she, too, is skeptical, and is always looking at the counter-arguments to the pieces of her proposal.)

For example, think about the classic econ. icon 'rational man.' Did you ever recognize yourself in that abstraction? I sure didn't.

Robert Frank explains why "... our beliefs about human nature help shape human nature itself." ... " economics students were more likely than other students to be corruptible--willing to give a biased answer--if it led to a personal payout." ... " economics majors were more approving of their own and others' self-serving behavior, while economics professors gave significantly less money to charity than their worse-paid colleagues in many other disciplines." ... "By Encouraging us to expect the worst in others, it [self-serving theory or rational man] brings out the worst in us."

More: "... one Wikipedia page lists over 160 cognitive biases, like a jumbo-size game of spot the-difference between rational economic man and his fallible human equivalent." Later, "... we are motivated by far more than cost and price."

On another concept: I really want to find the original rules to the original version of Monopoly, as invented by Elizabeth Magie, called the Prosperity rules. I don't like 'rich get richer' in games or life, after all--everyone should have a fair shot.

Or consider Donella Meadows comment that "... the universe is messy.... It is dynamic. It self-organises and evolves. It creates diversity, not uniformity. That's what makes the world interesting, that's what makes it beautiful, and that's what makes it work."

Lord Griffith, vice-chairman of Goldman Sachs, said about a decade ago: "We have to tolerate the inequality as a way to achieve greater prosperity and opportunity for all."

On the other hand, C-ROADS is a role-playing exercise that has made powerful imagery of the effects of climate change available to powerful policy-makers: check it out.

Also check out the complementary currency scheme in Switzerland, Zeitvorsoge. It's one thing to participate in Freecycle and to donate to charity shops, but to get usable credit for one's good deeds, now that's worth exploring.

Also worth exploring is Oberlin, Ohio's, efforts, with its university, to go deep green.

To choose which businesses to buy from or invest in, I want to look at the websites for the Economy for the Common Good, B Corp's Impact Reports, and the MultiCapital Scorecard.

"So many of the transformative ideas are originating in other fields of thought such as psychology, ecology, physics, history, Earth-system science, geography, architecture, sociology and complexity science.... It is time for economics to step back from soloing in the lime light... less Lord of the Dance and more maypole dance; more actively interweaving its theories with insights arising in other disciplines."

Most importantly, the author reminds us that defining 'growth' as important is just plain nonsense. I've long wondered why the magazine "The Economist" bemoans the falling birthrate in Europe and Japan, on the grounds that their economy won't grow and that it's bad. Bull! Overpopulation is a 'clear and present danger' and if people are having fewer children that's terrific! (And if particular countries need more people, they can welcome refugees and other migrants. And if the particular danger is that there are too many frail seniors with expensive needs, let those of us who wish to pass do so!)

So anyway, yeah, down with the growth mindset and up with the goal of strategies to take care of everyone on the planet, including the critters and plants. show less

A very interesting look at that, at times, somewhat dry topic of economics and in particular whether the traditional approach is fit for purpose in the 21st century, particularly in the context of climate change, dwindling resources etc.

Raworth thinks that the traditional approach is outdated, particularly in its seemingly single minded focus on a desire never-ending increase in GDP/GNP as the answer to all ills, such as poverty. At the same time, Raworth notes that the traditional approach show more under appreciates (if not ignores) the (adverse) impact of the past hundred or so years on the environment and the increasing need for more and more (scarce) resources (minerals, hydrocarbons, fertile land, water amongst others).

Raworth explores the history or economic theory, and concludes that modern economics has become too far removed from reality, having made many assumptions (the rational economic man; perfect market knowledge etc) in order to make various economic models 'workable', and provide almost science like predictions.

Indeed, reliance on some economic models or thinking influences how people think and act. Raworth cites 2 studies (pp100-101):

- third year economics university students rated altruistic values (eg helpfulness, honesty and loyalty) as being far less important in life than their 1st year equivalents;

- having published what became known as the Black- Scholes model (for predicting the likely price of options (derivatives) on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (which at the time was one of the most important derivatives exchanges in the world), the predictions initially made by the model deviated widely (by 30-40%) from the actual market prices. But after a few years, the model (without there being any changes to it) began to produce predictions which deviated by a mere 2% from actual market prices. A study by economic sociologists interviewing traders in the market demonstrated that the improvement came about because the traders had started to behave as if the theory/ model was true and were using the model's predictions as a benchmark for setting their own bids and bidding patterns. A variant of a self fulfilling prophecy.

Leaving behind traditional economics, Raworth asks that if we are not to act and run our economies in accord with traditional economic theory, how might we go about answering economic questions. And this is where the doughnut comes in.

In Raworth's words:

'The essence of the Doughnut: a social foundation of well-being that no one should fall below [in order that no person or peoples suffer critical human deprivation], and an ecological ceiling of planetary pressure that we should not go beyond [in order to avoid critical planetary degradation]. Between the two lies a safe and just space for all.' (p 11...words in [ ] added from the diagram on that page)

Raworth does not suggest that this is a prescription that is easy to implement, nor one as to which there are obvious answers when it comes to real life decisions, but spends the balance of the book making suggestions as to how we might change our ways of thinking in order to implement the Doughnut. Examples include:

- moving towards regenerative design ie approaching every decision as to design (eg as to physical artefacts) from the perspective of making every element of that artefact most adaptable to re-use, re-purposing, amenable to resource recovery and ultimately regeneration

- moving from being addicted to (GDP/GNP) growth to being agnostic about growth. That is not chasing growth, but being comfortable if growth does (or does not) come from time to time.

I have read that, at a personal level, Raworth who is based at Oxford and consults widely in Europe does not use air travel, but rather uses rail. An exception was apparently a trip to Australia with her family to visit her (Australian) husband's family. It is an example of asking, at every opportunity "do I need to consume this [given the resources that will be used/ the environmental impact of the consumption]?

In these few comments I have not done Raworth's thesis its proper due. But the book is very readable and does not require any particular economics background in order to understand.

I have not come across much discussion as to Raworth's thesis, in particular those critical, apart from one academic who posited that there was little prospect of implementing the Doughnut as (in my words) people's natures were so entrenched as being selfish that no one would ever give up anything for the common good.

That is a sad indictment if true.

Big Ship

1 July 2023 show less

The following review is written from the perspective of my startup:

Regen Network as a 21st-Century Economy

In 2017, economist Kate Raworth published Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist. The core concept of the book—the doughnut—has quickly gained prominence—from UN circles to alternative economic communities—as a way to summarize the tensions surrounding what might have formerly been called “sustainable development.”

On the interior of the doughnut show more is a social foundation. This is composed of human rights and human needs, such as access to clean water, healthy food, political voice, gender equality, etc. On the exterior of the doughnut is the ecological ceiling—the carrying capacity of the earth and her biological systems to sustain civilization. This is composed of ecological limits, such as ocean acidification, climate change, and chemical pollution.

As you can see from all the red in the above illustration, we currently live in a very fat doughnut, which fails to meet the social floor and extends far beyond the ecological ceiling.

So how can we transition into that nice green ring? Raworth explores seven avenues in her book.

Regen Network just so happens to have been oriented around establishing stronger ecological limits since our founding (as our tagline “balance sheet for earth” might suggest). In reviewing Raworth’s septad I will also highlight the ways in which Regen Network works in these arenas.

I. Change the Goal: from GDP to the Doughnut
Regen Network has the aim of planetary regeneration, and the goal of building the livelihoods of farmers by compensating them for ecological land stewardship.

II. See the Big Picture: from self-contained market to embedded economy
All of the human sphere, including our markets and our economic, are nested within earth systems. By working to bring ecological health into economic calculus, Regen Network helps to bring about a shift to the embedded economy where there are no such thing as externalities.

III. Nurture Human Nature: from rational economic man to social adaptable humans
As a blockchain enterprise, Regen Network is founded on the ethic of decentralization. Decentralization puts faith in the agency and ingenuity of individuals and communities to self-organize, rather than thinking of people as cogs in a massive economic machine.

IV. Get Savvy with Systems: from mechanical equilibrium to dynamic complexity
Our name, Regen Network, was inspired by the concept of regeneration. The definition of regeneration has been formalized by the work of Carol Sanford in the school she calls living systems. Categorically, living systems are about dynamic complexity and are the antonym of mechanical equilibrium.

V. Design to Distribute: from “growth will even it up again” to distributive by design
Farming is both the most common and least paid vocation on earth. By focusing on farmer wellbeing, Regen Network aims to focus on the class that growth economics have left behind.

VI. Create to Regenerate: from “growth will clean it up again” to regenerative by design
To cite Sanford’s work again, regeneration emerges out of seven first principles (with definitions given in Regen’s context):

Whole: Regen Network works through the lens of bioregions and earth-as-superorganism.

Potential: what do ecosystems look like when fully thriving? What does it look like when communities and landscapes become an integrated whole?

Reciprocity: how do we cycle energy through biotic systems economic systems rather than working with linear models of accumulations/depletion?

Essence: what is at the core of a particular place, and how do we uplift and organize around it?

Nestedness: properties nest within bioregions and watersheds nest within continents and the planet.

Nodal: where are the epicenters of systems change? What attention in our economic systems, agricultural systems, and scientific systems will ripple out through entire domains?

Development: how can we build the capacity of land stewards to be more deeply in relationship with their land?

VII. Be Agnostic about Growth: from growth addicted to growth agnostic
To be frank, this is one area that the crypto space could take some more time to reflect. Standard crypto-economic models necessitate growth; Ethereum, Bitcoin, Cosmos, and Regen Network all currently have increasing supplies where network security hinges upon currency deflation driven by market cap expansion (the crypto-economic premises of this subject are beyond the scope of this post). That said, if the crypto space is good at anything, it is experimentation and iteration, and I anticipate some radically different token economic models coming online in coming years that work with demurrage and post-growth economics.

A Few Words on the Ecological Ceiling
In my view, the primary shortcoming of Raworth’s model is that it uses an anthropocentric ecological ceiling. The ecological ceiling is the threshold at which livings systems collapse. The problem with setting this as our limit is that it is deaf to the cries of countless others in the more-than-human sphere that are crushed on our path to that limit. Lots of species can go extinct, waterways polluted, and soils eroded before arriving at systems-collapse.

In other words, the ecological ceiling is utilitarian and instrumentalist; what utility does nature provide us with, and how can we maximize that utility up to the breaking point? This is a fundamentally violent approach divorced from a land ethic. Tree frogs, mosquitoes, and mangroves (even boulders) have their own lives and experiences which have inherent value.

The economy is a human-created sphere that operates within the human realm. How can we imbue the economy with consideration for the more-than-human world for its own sake? Do economic systems have the capacity to interact coherently with the sacred and numinous? These are some of the questions we’re exploring at Regen Network. show less

Part important rethink of fundamental principles of economics, part TED talk…